{"id":13511,"date":"2021-02-11T05:38:52","date_gmt":"2021-02-11T05:38:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/el-estimulo-de-los-planes-de-estimulo-2\/"},"modified":"2021-08-18T18:53:17","modified_gmt":"2021-08-18T18:53:17","slug":"el-estimulo-de-los-planes-de-estimulo-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=13511","title":{"rendered":"El est\u00edmulo de los planes de est\u00edmulo"},"content":{"rendered":"

Autores:\u00a0Carlos Rodr\u00edguez Braun<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Extra\u00eddo de: El Cato<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Fecha:\u00a011 de febrero del 2021<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Por doquier encontramos hoy por la palabra \u201cest\u00edmulo<\/strong>\u201d, fantas\u00eda seg\u00fan la cual los gobernantes aumentan el\u00a0<\/span>gasto p\u00fablico<\/strong>\u00a0<\/span>y ello nos enriquece a todos y nos permite dejar atr\u00e1s la crisis. Al famoso est\u00edmulo se le a\u00f1ade otra met\u00e1fora m\u00e9dica, para redondear el car\u00e1cter beneficioso de dicho aumento del gasto, que se traduce en una \u201cinyecci\u00f3n de recursos<\/strong>\u201d.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Asombrosamente, no se subraya que los recursos no son gratis, y que la \u201cinyecci\u00f3n\u201d puede tener efectos secundarios nocivos. Pero el gasto p\u00fablico no es gratis: cada euro que gasten m\u00e1s los gobernantes es un euro menos en los bolsillos de los contribuyentes, de donde brotan todos esos famosos \u201crecursos\u201d. Por lo tanto, en pura l\u00f3gica, si uno cree que el mayor gasto tiene efectos positivos, deber\u00e1 reconocer que el menor gasto de los contribuyentes, debido a la subida deimpuestos<\/strong>, los tendr\u00e1 negativos. En caso contrario hay que introducir hip\u00f3tesis audaces, de cierta tradici\u00f3n en la\u00a0<\/span>teor\u00eda econ\u00f3mica<\/strong>, como que la demanda p\u00fablica equivale siempre al crecimiento, o que las personas son m\u00e1s torpes o menos eficientes que sus Gobiernos a la hora de gastar.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Los economistas\u00a0<\/span>John F. Cogan<\/strong>\u00a0<\/span>y\u00a0<\/span>John B. Taylor<\/strong>, de la\u00a0<\/span>Hoover Institution<\/strong>, repasaron los planes del \u00faltimo medio siglo en los Estados Unidos, y concluyeron que su impacto en el\u00a0<\/span>crecimiento econ\u00f3mico<\/strong>\u00a0<\/span>fue insignificante y temporal: lo que no es temporal es su efecto en la Hacienda, puesto que tienden a incrementar la\u00a0<\/span>deuda p\u00fablica<\/strong>. Sucedi\u00f3 la \u00faltima vez con Obama en la crisis de 2009, cuyos logros se resumen en una \u201crecuperaci\u00f3n notablemente an\u00e9mica\u201d.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Alberto Alesina<\/strong>\u00a0<\/span>y sus colegas aportaron evidencia emp\u00edrica de varios pa\u00edses que apunta en una direcci\u00f3n similar: la reducci\u00f3n del gasto impulsa la recuperaci\u00f3n con m\u00e1s intensidad y durante m\u00e1s tiempo que la subida de impuestos.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

La clave del asunto, como apunt\u00f3\u00a0<\/span>Art Carden<\/strong>\u00a0<\/span>en la revista\u00a0<\/span>Forbes<\/em>, no es repartir dinero p\u00fablico para estimular la demanda, lo que en s\u00ed mismo ya es dudoso. La clave es lograr una r\u00e1pida recuperaci\u00f3n a trav\u00e9s de la oferta, es decir, a trav\u00e9s de una econom\u00eda con menos trabas y costes, que facilite la labor de empresarios y trabajadores.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Pero si los planes de est\u00edmulo no estimulan la econom\u00eda, \u00bfpor qu\u00e9 son acometidos? Porque estimulan a los pol\u00edticos y a los grupos de presi\u00f3n que a su socaire medran.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

<\/path><\/svg><\/i> Vistas Totales 924 , Vistas Hoy 2 <\/p>\n

<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Autores:\u00a0Carlos Rodr\u00edguez Braun Extra\u00eddo de: El Cato Fecha:\u00a011 de febrero del 2021 Por doquier encontramos hoy por la palabra \u201cest\u00edmulo\u201d, fantas\u00eda seg\u00fan la cual los gobernantes aumentan el\u00a0gasto p\u00fablico\u00a0y ello nos enriquece a todos y nos permite dejar atr\u00e1s la crisis. Al famoso est\u00edmulo se le a\u00f1ade otra met\u00e1fora m\u00e9dica, para redondear el car\u00e1cter beneficioso…<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

<\/path><\/svg><\/i> Vistas Totales 924 , Vistas Hoy 2 <\/p>\n

<\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":21920,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13511","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articulos"],"yoast_head":"\nEl est\u00edmulo de los planes de est\u00edmulo | CREES<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=13511\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"El est\u00edmulo de los planes de est\u00edmulo | CREES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Autores:\u00a0Carlos Rodr\u00edguez Braun Extra\u00eddo de: El Cato Fecha:\u00a011 de febrero del 2021 Por doquier encontramos hoy por la palabra \u201cest\u00edmulo\u201d, fantas\u00eda seg\u00fan la cual los gobernantes aumentan el\u00a0gasto p\u00fablico\u00a0y ello nos enriquece a todos y nos permite dejar atr\u00e1s la crisis. 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