{"id":20261,"date":"2014-01-01T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2014-01-01T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/crees-muestra-sorpresa-ante-cifras-de-crecimiento\/"},"modified":"2014-01-01T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2014-01-01T00:00:00","slug":"crees-muestra-sorpresa-ante-cifras-de-crecimiento","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=20261","title":{"rendered":"CREES muestra sorpresa ante cifras de crecimiento"},"content":{"rendered":"

Autora: Patria Reyes Rodr\u00edguez<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Fuente: www.listindiario.com<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Fecha: 20 Enero 2014<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Los economistas Ernesto Selman y Miguel Collado del Centro Regional de Estudios Econ\u00f3micos Sostenibles (CREES) manifestaron sus dudas en relaci\u00f3n al crecimiento econ\u00f3mico anunciado por el Banco Central durante el 2013.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Expresaron que hasta septiembre todos los indicadores de la actividad econ\u00f3mica mostraban un comportamiento recesivo, por lo que su pron\u00f3stico siempre fue un crecimiento bajo o nulo.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Precisaron que durante la mayor parte del a\u00f1o la econom\u00eda mostr\u00f3 una tendencia a la contracci\u00f3n.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Los especialistas del CREES consideraron que es muy dif\u00edcil hablar de un crecimiento de 4.1% cuando las importaciones nacionales decrecieron un 7% y la factura petrolera 7.3%.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

“Estos son indicadores precisos del crecimiento econ\u00f3mico. Si las importaciones bajaron es porque hubo menos inversi\u00f3n de capital y la producci\u00f3n se redujo” indic\u00f3 Selman.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Explicaron que un crecimiento real se refleja en un aumento de la importaci\u00f3n de materias primas y bienes de capital para la producci\u00f3n, as\u00ed como un mayor consumo de combustible.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

“No es posible que la econom\u00eda crezca con un menor consumo de combustible, aunque nos hubi\u00e9semos hecho m\u00e1s eficientes en su uso. Las importaciones de combustible son el mejor indicador de crecimiento econ\u00f3mico” expusieron los economistas.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Selman y Collado apuntan como otro indicador que contradice las cifras mostradas por las autoridades monetarias, el comportamiento del Impuesto a la Transferencia de Bienes Industrializados (ITBIS), las que reflejan que las ventas totales declaradas a la Direcci\u00f3n General de Impuestos Internos (DGII) disminuyeron en un 1%.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

En un encuentro realizado con periodistas de distintos medios de comunicaci\u00f3n, los especialistas manifestaron que el efecto de la inyecci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica realizada por el Banco Central a mediados del 2013, produjo mayor demanda de bienes y servicios, y pudo tener su reflejo en el crecimiento econ\u00f3mico, pero en el an\u00e1lisis de los actores reales la econom\u00eda no debe haber crecido en el porcentaje anunciado.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Expresaron que, aunque sectores como turismo (7.5%), zonas francas (2.3%) y remesas (3.3%) crecieron, las exportaciones totales, excluyendo el oro, cayeron 5% y la inversi\u00f3n extranjera directa se redujo un 34%.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

(+) 
PROYECCIONES PARA ESTE A\u00d1O<\/b> 
Analizando las perspectivas para este 2014, los economistas indican que a pesar de que algunos sectores podr\u00edan tener un desempe\u00f1o positivo , en termino de las exportaciones no ser\u00e1 muy bueno, por los altos costos de producci\u00f3n que se mantiene el pa\u00eds, lo que afecta los niveles de competitividad.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Dijeron que si no hay reformas estructurales que reduzcan la incertidumbre para hacer negocios no habr\u00e1 forma de que la econom\u00eda crezca durante el a\u00f1o m\u00e1s de un 2%.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

<\/path><\/svg><\/i> Vistas Totales 300 , Vistas Hoy 6 <\/p>\n

<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Autora: Patria Reyes Rodr\u00edguezFuente: www.listindiario.comFecha: 20 Enero 2014Los economistas Ernesto Selman y Miguel Collado del Centro Regional de Estudios Econ\u00f3micos Sostenibles (CREES) manifestaron sus dudas en relaci\u00f3n al crecimiento econ\u00f3mico anunciado por el Banco Central durante el 2013.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

<\/path><\/svg><\/i> Vistas Totales 300 , Vistas Hoy 6 <\/p>\n

<\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20261","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog"],"yoast_head":"\nCREES muestra sorpresa ante cifras de crecimiento | CREES<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=20261\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"CREES muestra sorpresa ante cifras de crecimiento | CREES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Autora: Patria Reyes Rodr\u00edguezFuente: www.listindiario.comFecha: 20 Enero 2014Los economistas Ernesto Selman y Miguel Collado del Centro Regional de Estudios 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