{"id":20343,"date":"2014-01-01T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2014-01-01T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/el-mito-de-las-medidas-contraciclicas\/"},"modified":"2014-01-01T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2014-01-01T00:00:00","slug":"el-mito-de-las-medidas-contraciclicas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=20343","title":{"rendered":"El mito de las medidas contrac\u00edclicas"},"content":{"rendered":"

Autor: Luis Pazos<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Fuente: www.cisle.org.mx<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Hace poco le preguntaron a un funcionario de la Secretaria de Hacienda el porqu\u00e9 del aumento de la deuda p\u00fablica; contesto que era una medida “contrac\u00edclica”. Esas pol\u00edticas, derivadas de las contraproducentes teor\u00edas Keynesianas, son las causantes de las crisis econ\u00f3micas que explotan peri\u00f3dicamente debido a los aumentos de gastos deficitarios y deudas impagables, que te\u00f3ricamente son la cura para las recesiones causadas precisamente por esos mayores gastos. El aparente remedio es la causa de las crisis c\u00edclicas. Es como tomar m\u00e1s para curarse la cruda o resaca.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Hablar de ciclos econ\u00f3micos inevitables es un mito, inventado por gobernantes para justificar aumentos de gastos y d\u00e9ficit que a corto plazo generan burbujas de crecimiento, que tarde o temprano explotan, como en 2008. Muchos gobiernos en lugar de tomar el camino correcto de austeridad y ajustes de gastos ante bajas de ingresos, v\u00eda dif\u00edcil pol\u00edticamente, aumentan deuda, imprimen dinero y gastan en nombre de estimular empleo, crecimiento y contrarrestar el ciclo que crean los excesos en el gasto y la deuda. (Ver libro Pol\u00edticas Econ\u00f3micas<\/b>, editado por grupo Planeta con sello de Diana, que estar\u00e1 en librer\u00edas a principios de noviembre. Explica la relaci\u00f3n burbujas- recesiones –medidas contrac\u00edclicas- nuevas burbujas – m\u00e1s recesiones).<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

La experiencia de la recesi\u00f3n del 2009 muestra que los pa\u00edses, como Grecia, Espa\u00f1a y Portugal, que aplicaron con mayor intensidad m\u00e1s gasto y d\u00e9ficit por a\u00f1os, con el cuento de las medidas contrac\u00edclicas, fue donde m\u00e1s tardaron en salir de la recesi\u00f3n. En 2014 todav\u00eda no terminan de superarla y EUA apenas est\u00e1 saliendo. El gobierno mexicano act\u00faa como si el actual bajo crecimiento fuera parte de esa crisis global y no por una mala planeaci\u00f3n del gasto y reducci\u00f3n de ingresos debido a una menor producci\u00f3n de su monopolio petrolero por ineficiencias y corrupci\u00f3n.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Ante una reducci\u00f3n de ingresos, por implementar tard\u00edamente la apertura energ\u00e9tica, el gobierno aument\u00f3 impuestos, deuda y gasto, no como medida contra un ciclo mundial recesivo, sino como camino alternativo a enfrentar una baja de ingresos con una sana reducci\u00f3n de gastos, que consider\u00f3 no era conveniente ante un a\u00f1o electoral en 2015.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

<\/path><\/svg><\/i> Vistas Totales 322 , Vistas Hoy 1 <\/p>\n

<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Autor: Luis PazosFuente: www.cisle.org.mxHace poco le preguntaron a un funcionario de la Secretaria de Hacienda el porqu\u00e9 del aumento de la deuda p\u00fablica; contesto que era una medida \u201ccontrac\u00edclica\u201d. Esas pol\u00edticas, derivadas de las contraproducentes teor\u00edas Keynesianas, son las causantes de las crisis econ\u00f3micas que explotan peri\u00f3dicamente debido a los aumentos de gastos deficitarios y deudas impagables, que te\u00f3ricamente son la cura para las recesiones causadas precisamente por esos mayores gastos. El aparente remedio es la causa de las crisis c\u00edclicas. Es como tomar m\u00e1s para curarse la cruda o resaca.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

<\/path><\/svg><\/i> Vistas Totales 322 , Vistas Hoy 1 <\/p>\n

<\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20343","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog"],"yoast_head":"\nEl mito de las medidas contrac\u00edclicas | CREES<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=20343\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"El mito de las medidas contrac\u00edclicas | CREES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Autor: Luis PazosFuente: www.cisle.org.mxHace poco le preguntaron a un funcionario de la Secretaria de Hacienda el porqu\u00e9 del aumento de la deuda p\u00fablica; contesto que era una medida \u201ccontrac\u00edclica\u201d. Esas pol\u00edticas, derivadas de las contraproducentes teor\u00edas Keynesianas, son las causantes de las crisis econ\u00f3micas que explotan peri\u00f3dicamente debido a los aumentos de gastos deficitarios y deudas impagables, que te\u00f3ricamente son la cura para las recesiones causadas precisamente por esos mayores gastos. El aparente remedio es la causa de las crisis c\u00edclicas. 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