{"id":20434,"date":"2015-01-01T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2015-01-01T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/que-hacer-ante-los-riesgos-de-la-economia-mundial\/"},"modified":"2015-01-01T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2015-01-01T00:00:00","slug":"que-hacer-ante-los-riesgos-de-la-economia-mundial","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=20434","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfQu\u00e9 hacer ante los riesgos de la econom\u00eda mundial?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Autor: Yinett Santelises <\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Fecha: 30\/10\/2015<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Extra\u00eddo de diariolibre.com<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

El exministro explic\u00f3 que si las tasas son muy altas, y hay muchas exenciones, los pa\u00edses recaudan menos. “Ojal\u00e1 eliminar las exenciones que no se justifican”, expres\u00f3 en la conferencia “Los riesgos de la econom\u00eda mundial: ¿c\u00f3mo prepararnos mejor?”, organizada por el Centro Regional de Estrategias Econ\u00f3micas Sostenibles (CREES).SANTO DOMINGO. <\/span>Ante los riesgos de la econom\u00eda mundial por la desaceleraci\u00f3n de la econom\u00eda china y la inminente subida de las tasas por la Reserva Federal de los Estados Unidos, el exministro de Hacienda chileno, Felipe Larra\u00edn, recomend\u00f3 que las pol\u00edticas tributarias de los pa\u00edses se fundamenten en impuestos moderados, bases amplias y sin exenciones injustificadas para lograr mayores recaudaciones.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Larra\u00edn consider\u00f3 tambi\u00e9n que los mercados laborales deben ser flexibles, pero con protecci\u00f3n. Argentina, Chile y Rep\u00fablica Dominicana son –dijo- los pa\u00edses de la regi\u00f3n latinoamericana con mayores indemnizaciones por cese en el trabajo. La indemnizaci\u00f3n por despido es “un mal sustituto” del referido seguro, porque ralentiza el mercado laboral. Por esto prefiere un “sistema potente” de seguros por desempleo.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

El conferencista y economista chileno expres\u00f3 que las pol\u00edticas fiscales de los pa\u00edses deben basarse en deudas p\u00fablicas sostenibles, en d\u00e9ficits controlados, y en una institucionalidad fiscal adecuada ante los riesgos de la econom\u00eda.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Desaf\u00edos de los mercados emergentes<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n
\n

Larra\u00edn cit\u00f3 entre los desaf\u00edos que enfrentan los mercados emergentes la desaceleraci\u00f3n de la econom\u00eda de la Rep\u00fablica Popular China, el fin del “s\u00faper ciclo” de los commodities y la inminente alza de las tasas en los Estados Unidos.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

El conferencista record\u00f3 que China creci\u00f3 a un promedio de 10% anual durante unos 30 a\u00f1os, pero con la crisis mundial de 2008 empez\u00f3 a bajar (en los primeros trimestres s\u00f3lo creci\u00f3 7%).<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

¿Y c\u00f3mo afecta la desaceleraci\u00f3n china a la Rep\u00fablica Dominicana? Larra\u00edn dijo que en t\u00e9rminos directos este pa\u00eds es poco dependiente de lo que pasa en el gigante asi\u00e1tico, “pero no en t\u00e9rminos indirectos” porque si hay problemas en China afectan a los socios comerciales de la Rep\u00fablica Dominicana, y record\u00f3 que el 25% de las exportaciones chilenas van a China, mientras las dominicanas s\u00f3lo representaron el 1% el pasado a\u00f1o.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Sin embargo, como cerca de la mitad de las exportaciones dominicanas tienen como destino a Estados Unidos, este pa\u00eds s\u00ed es muy dependiente de lo que ocurre all\u00ed, consider\u00f3 el experto.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Larra\u00edn revel\u00f3 que Rep\u00fablica Dominicana es el tercer pa\u00eds de la regi\u00f3n al que m\u00e1s le favorece la ca\u00edda del precio del petr\u00f3leo, ventaja s\u00f3lo superada por Honduras y Nicaragua.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Al final de la conferencia de Felipe Larra\u00edn, \u00e9ste particip\u00f3 con el vicepresidente ejecutivo del CREES, Ernesto Selman, y con los economistas dominicanos Edwin Croes y Pavel Isa, en un panel sobre la econom\u00eda local e internacional. El CREES es un centro de investigaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica fundado en 2011.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Pol\u00edtica monetaria<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\n

Como preparaci\u00f3n ante los riesgos de la econom\u00eda global, Larra\u00edn recomend\u00f3 -dentro de la pol\u00edtica monetaria y cambiaria- que los bancos centrales sean aut\u00f3nomos, que los pa\u00edses tengan metas de inflaci\u00f3n y un tipo de cambio flotante (considera que esto dar\u00eda gran posibilidad para amortiguar shocks). El exministro chileno dijo que la inflaci\u00f3n (1% anual) en Rep\u00fablica Dominicana es “extraordinariamente baja”, siendo el tercero con menor tasa de Latinoam\u00e9rica, mientras Venezuela es el primero. Sobre la tasa de pol\u00edtica monetaria, que en el pa\u00eds est\u00e1 en 5%, dijo que da la “sensaci\u00f3n de que todav\u00eda hay espacio para una mayor reducci\u00f3n”.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n

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<\/path><\/svg><\/i> Vistas Totales 310 , Vistas Hoy 1 <\/p>\n

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full_html<\/p>\n

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<\/path><\/svg><\/i> Vistas Totales 310 , Vistas Hoy 1 <\/p>\n

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