{"id":20435,"date":"2015-01-01T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2015-01-01T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/recomienda-tasa-de-cambio-flexible-y-meta-de-inflacion\/"},"modified":"2015-01-01T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2015-01-01T00:00:00","slug":"recomienda-tasa-de-cambio-flexible-y-meta-de-inflacion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=20435","title":{"rendered":"Recomienda tasa de cambio flexible y meta de inflaci\u00f3n"},"content":{"rendered":"

Autor: Mayelin Acosta Guzm\u00e1n<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Fecha: 30\/10\/2015<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Extra\u00eddo de hoy.com.do<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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La Rep\u00fablica Dominicana al igual que Latinoam\u00e9rica debe adoptar una pol\u00edtica monetaria que lleve a mantener metas de inflaci\u00f3n controlada y un tipo de cambio flotante para enfrentar los riesgos de la econom\u00eda mundial, afirm\u00f3 el director ejecutivo del Centro Latinoamericano de Pol\u00edticas Econ\u00f3micas y Sociales y exministro de Hacienda de Chile, Felipe Larra\u00edn.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Destac\u00f3 que esta combinaci\u00f3n de elementos en la pol\u00edtica monetaria es lo que permitir\u00e1 enfrentar los desaf\u00edos econ\u00f3micos internacionales, adem\u00e1s de contar con bancos centrales aut\u00f3nomos.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Indic\u00f3 que los pa\u00edses emergentes y econom\u00edas peque\u00f1as deben estar atentos a los principales desaf\u00edos de la econom\u00eda mundial: la desaceleraci\u00f3n mayor de China, una ca\u00edda mayor en los precios de los comodities y la inminente alza de la tasa de inter\u00e9s en los Estados Unidos. Dijo que espera que el incremento de la tasa de inter\u00e9s de la Reserva Federal se producir\u00e1 entre diciembre 2015 y febrero del 2016.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Al impartir la conferencia-desayuno “Los Riesgos de la econom\u00eda mundial: ¿C\u00f3mo prepararnos mejor”, organizado por el Centro Regional de Estrategias Econ\u00f3micas Sostenibles (CREES), Larra\u00edn tambi\u00e9n sugiri\u00f3 establecer una pol\u00edtica tributaria con una tasa de impuestos moderada y razonable, ampliaci\u00f3n de la base impositiva y la eliminaci\u00f3n de exenciones fiscales no justificadas.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Adem\u00e1s Larra\u00edn recomend\u00f3, en el tema de pol\u00edtica fiscal, mantener una deuda p\u00fablica sostenible, un d\u00e9ficit controlado y una institucionalidad fiscal adecuada. Agreg\u00f3 que frente a la actual situaci\u00f3n el pa\u00eds debe tener una deuda m\u00e1s baja para poder enfrentar choques externos.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Calific\u00f3 como un nivel medio alto la deuda p\u00fablica dominicana, la cual sit\u00faa en un 33% del Producto Interno Bruto (PIB), s\u00f3lo la estimada en el Sector P\u00fablico No Financiero (SPNF), seg\u00fan datos de organismo multilaterales, sin tomar en cuenta la deuda cuasi fiscal del Banco Central.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Otra de las sugerencias del experto es tener mercados laborales flexibles, con protecci\u00f3n hacia los trabajadores. Indic\u00f3 que la indemnizaci\u00f3n por despido no debe tener un costo alto para el empleador, por lo que abog\u00f3 por crear el seguro de desempleo.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Adem\u00e1s, que los pa\u00edses deben enfrentar la pobreza y desigualdad con pol\u00edticas que no sean populistas y se deben crear oportunidades para las personas. En su an\u00e1lisis, Larra\u00edn destac\u00f3 que a nivel general la desigualdad ha ca\u00eddo en los \u00faltimos tiempos en la mayor\u00eda de los pa\u00edses de Am\u00e9rica Latina.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Larra\u00edn precis\u00f3 que la Rep\u00fablica Dominicana no tendr\u00e1 un impacto directo de la situaci\u00f3n en China y los precios de las materias primas o comodities, pero s\u00ed debe prestar atenci\u00f3n a la pol\u00edtica ultra expansiva de Estados Unidos.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Larra\u00edn agreg\u00f3 en su exposici\u00f3n que el pa\u00eds no se ve afectado con los precios de los comodities a nivel internacional porque no exporta tantas materias primas, a excepci\u00f3n del oro, y porque su estructura de productos de exportaci\u00f3n es m\u00e1s diversificada que otros pa\u00edses. Pero Estados Unidos representa el 50 por ciento de su mercado de exportaci\u00f3n, seguido de Hait\u00ed.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

ZOOM<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Reformas<\/strong> El vicepresidente de la CREES, Ernesto Selman insisti\u00f3 en que se apliquen<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

reformas estructurales que reduzcan las barreras de inversi\u00f3n y los costos de vivir y hacer negocios en el pa\u00eds. Expres\u00f3 que el pago de los servicios de la deuda p\u00fablica representa la mayor proporci\u00f3n de los ingresos fiscales y el pa\u00eds se dirige hacia una senda de insostenibilidad si contin\u00faa el ritmo de endeudamiento. Adem\u00e1s llam\u00f3 a aprobar el proyecto de Ley de Responsabilidad y Transparencia Fiscal, la cual limite el gasto p\u00fablico, el endeudamiento p\u00fablico y al d\u00e9ficit fiscal. Sostuvo que esta ley evitar\u00eda cualquier problema por los niveles de gasto p\u00fablico y endeudamiento.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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<\/path><\/svg><\/i> Vistas Totales 287 , Vistas Hoy 1 <\/p>\n

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full_html<\/p>\n

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