{"id":24043,"date":"2022-10-31T18:37:32","date_gmt":"2022-10-31T18:37:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=24043"},"modified":"2022-11-01T18:38:09","modified_gmt":"2022-11-01T18:38:09","slug":"en-2023-la-deuda-sera-mas-cara-segun-crees","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=24043","title":{"rendered":"En 2023 la deuda ser\u00e1 m\u00e1s cara, seg\u00fan CREES"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Autor: Katheryn Luna<\/p>\n<p>Fecha: 31 de octubre del 2022<\/p>\n<p>Extra\u00eddo de: <a href=\"https:\/\/acento.com.do\/economia\/en-2023-la-deuda-sera-mas-cara-segun-crees-9124747.html\">Acento<\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">El Centro Regional de Estrategias Econ\u00f3micas Sostenibles\u00a0<strong>(CREES)<\/strong>\u00a0consider\u00f3 que los riesgos sobre gastos e ingresos en 2023 podr\u00edan incrementar las necesidades de financiamiento, por lo que habr\u00e1 un\u00a0<strong>mayor costo de la deuda.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Es por esto que plantea la necesidad de establecer reglas fiscales que reduzcan el\u00a0<strong>d\u00e9ficit<\/strong>\u00a0y como consecuencia la\u00a0<strong>deuda p\u00fablica.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Miguel Collado Di Franco<\/strong>, vicepresidente ejecutivo del Centro, explic\u00f3 que entre los factores de riesgo est\u00e1 el aumento de gastos por el ciclo pol\u00edtico en a\u00f1o pre-electoral, as\u00ed como la incertidumbre de los precios de los\u00a0<strong>commodities energ\u00e9ticos<\/strong>\u00a0que podr\u00eda incidir en el gasto de transferencias al\u00a0<strong>sector el\u00e9ctrico<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<picture class=\"image\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/acentos3.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/media\/storage02\/uploads\/2022\/10\/financiamiento.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"760\" height=\"377\" \/><\/picture>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">En una sesi\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica sobre\u00a0<strong>\u201cPresupuesto 2023 y las finanzas p\u00fablicas antes los cambios internacionales\u201d<\/strong>, el economista plante\u00f3 que habr\u00e1 incrementos en el costo de nuevas emisiones de deuda y un crecimiento de ingresos fiscales de menos de dos cifras ante la moderaci\u00f3n de la\u00a0<strong>inflaci\u00f3n.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Indic\u00f3 que los incrementos a la tasa pol\u00edtica monetaria por los bancos centrales y el aumento de la percepci\u00f3n de riesgo, son factores que inciden en los costos de endeudamiento a nivel mundial.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">El cambio de pol\u00edtica de la FED (Reserva Federal) ha provocado un aumento en prima de riesgo que demandan los inversionistas para invertir en mercados emergentes. Al 21 de octubre de este a\u00f1o, el promedio de Rep\u00fablica Dominicana era de 4.31, siendo el de Am\u00e9rica Latina 4.94.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Consider\u00f3 como optimista el 10.9% en aumento de los ingresos fiscales en el Presupuesto 2023 por los factores econ\u00f3micos actuales y que el d\u00e9ficit podr\u00eda superar lo esperado, pasando el -3.0% a -3.5%.<\/p>\n<picture class=\"image\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/acentos3.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/media\/storage02\/uploads\/2022\/10\/sin-titulo-3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"754\" height=\"349\" \/><\/picture>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Collado Di Franco dijo, adem\u00e1s, que aunque todav\u00eda se mantiene la pr\u00e1ctica de pasar gasto al a\u00f1o fiscal siguiente en forma de cuentas por pagar, en la actualidad se hace en menor medida.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Del 2019 al 2023 las cuentas por pagar pasaron de RD$ 66,131.7 millones a RD$ 19,042.1 millones.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Aumento de la deuda<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">La deuda del sector p\u00fablico no financiero aument\u00f3 16 veces, es decir en 1,514.4%, desde el a\u00f1o 2000 (US$ 3,243.5 millones) a agosto 2022 (US$ 52,368.6 millones).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">De acuerdo con un documento presentado por CREES, la deuda consolidada (sector p\u00fablico no financiero y Banco Central), desde el 2000 ha incrementado un 1,478.4% a agosto 2022.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><picture class=\"image\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/acentos3.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/media\/storage02\/uploads\/2022\/10\/deuda.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"767\" height=\"501\" \/><\/picture><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">La deuda consolidada en el 2000 era de US$ 4,447.9 millones y al mes de agosto de este a\u00f1o se coloc\u00f3 a US$ 70,205.4 millones.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Se requieren reformas<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Entre las propuestas de CREES para la consolidaci\u00f3n fiscal es que se puedan establecer reglas fiscales que reduzcan el d\u00e9ficit y en consecuencia la deuda p\u00fablica, que se lograr\u00eda con disposici\u00f3n desde el Estado.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Tambi\u00e9n una reforma tributaria que simplifique el c\u00f3digo tributario, elimine impuestos \u201cdistorsionadores\u201d y reduzca las tasas de los impuestos existentes.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">El economista sostiene que no se habla de un incremento de impuestos sino simplificar y reducir la tasa de los existentes que se hizo la \u00faltima vez en el a\u00f1o 92.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Asimismo, sostiene que se podr\u00edan implementar reformas estructurales que permitan incrementar la productividad promedio en la econom\u00eda y elevar los ingresos de los ciudadanos.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Con reformas estructurales, CREES se refiere al sector el\u00e9ctrico, transporte de carga, el sistema educativo y costos laborales no salariales, como por ejemplo la cesant\u00eda, que se sustituya por una alternativa menos costosa pero manteniendo los derechos adquiridos de los trabajadores.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Di Franco consider\u00f3 que en el caso del sistema el\u00e9ctrico, este est\u00e1 politizado por lo que es necesario que se saque del \u00e1mbito pol\u00edtico y se administre de forma privada y se convierta en un sistema de mayor calidad.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Record\u00f3 que un tercio del d\u00e9ficit del gobierno est\u00e1 representado por la transferencia al sector el\u00e9ctrico, un 39% en el presupuesto complementario (US$ 1,575.7 millones) y 35% en el presupuesto 2023 (US$ 1,296.7 millones).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cPor cada 100 pesos que compra de energ\u00eda, las Edes pierden 42 pesos\u201d, dijo<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Asimismo, consider\u00f3 que cualquier momento para mejorar es bueno, pero que siendo realista el gobierno no se embarcar\u00e1 en ninguna modificaci\u00f3n tributaria hasta el 2024<\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"pvc_stats all \" data-element-id=\"24043\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-chart-bar fa-w-16 fa-2x\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v198.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm96 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V204.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v134.4c0 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Es por esto que plantea la necesidad de establecer reglas fiscales que&#8230;<\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"pvc_stats all \" data-element-id=\"24043\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-chart-bar fa-w-16 fa-2x\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v198.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm96 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V204.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v134.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zM496 400H48V80c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16H16C7.16 64 0 71.16 0 80v336c0 17.67 14.33 32 32 32h464c8.84 0 16-7.16 16-16v-16c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16zm-387.2-48h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8v-70.4c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v70.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8z\" class=\"\"><\/path><\/svg><\/i> Vistas Totales&nbsp;1,133&nbsp;, Vistas Hoy&nbsp;2&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":24044,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24043","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualidad"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>En 2023 la deuda ser\u00e1 m\u00e1s cara, seg\u00fan CREES | CREES<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=24043\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"En 2023 la deuda ser\u00e1 m\u00e1s cara, seg\u00fan CREES | CREES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Autor: Katheryn Luna Fecha: 31 de octubre del 2022 Extra\u00eddo de: Acento El Centro Regional de Estrategias Econ\u00f3micas Sostenibles\u00a0(CREES)\u00a0consider\u00f3 que los riesgos sobre gastos e ingresos en 2023 podr\u00edan incrementar las necesidades de financiamiento, por lo que habr\u00e1 un\u00a0mayor costo de la deuda. 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