El d\u00e9ficit\u00a0p\u00fablico\u00a0de la\u00a0Rep\u00fablica Dominicana solo disminuir\u00eda\u00a0del 3% al 2.9% del PIB en 2025, a pesar de la\u00a0propuesta fiscal\u00a0que fue enviada por el Poder Ejecutivo al Congreso Nacional\u00a0<\/em><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\nEl Centro Regional de Estrategias Econ\u00f3micas Sostenibles (CREES), tras analizar el impacto de la propuesta Ley de Modernizaci\u00f3n Fiscal, considera que las medidas incluidas en la reforma no lograr\u00e1n una reducci\u00f3n significativa en el ritmo de endeudamiento p\u00fablico. A pesar de los esfuerzos por contener el gasto y aumentar los ingresos fiscales, el d\u00e9ficit del Sector P\u00fablico No Financiero (SPNF) se mantendr\u00eda pr\u00e1cticamente invariable, pasando del 3% al 2.9% del PIB en 2025.<\/p>\n
Miguel Collado Di Franco, quien realiz\u00f3 el an\u00e1lisis del proyecto, indica que, aunque la reforma generar\u00eda ingresos adicionales por RD$122,486.6 millones, la mayor\u00eda de estos se destinar\u00edan a cubrir nuevos gastos, como los RD$110,418 millones que ir\u00edan a proyectos de inversi\u00f3n incluidos en el presupuesto de 2025. “El ahorro neto resultante ser\u00eda de apenas RD$6,959.7 millones, equivalente al 0.086% del PIB, lo que es insuficiente para disminuir el d\u00e9ficit de manera significativa\u201d, indic\u00f3 el economista.<\/p>\n
Entre los gastos adicionales destaca el aumento en las transferencias del programa social Alim\u00e9ntate, que ver\u00eda un aumento de RD$5,000 millones como consecuencia del incremento del Impuesto al Valor Agregado (IVA) a una tasa del 18%. Adem\u00e1s, se suman los RD$4,290 millones correspondientes al aumento del salario m\u00ednimo de los empleados p\u00fablicos, lo cual absorbe casi la totalidad de los nuevos ingresos por impuestos.<\/p>\n
Collado Di Franco tambi\u00e9n se\u00f1ala que las medidas de contenci\u00f3n del gasto, como las fusiones y eliminaciones de instituciones p\u00fablicas, que se esperaba generar\u00edan un ahorro de RD$25,000 millones, se ver\u00edan neutralizadas, ya que ese monto ser\u00eda posteriormente reintroducido al presupuesto en forma de nuevos gastos. “Este tipo de reordenamiento administrativo no tiene un impacto real en la reducci\u00f3n del d\u00e9ficit, pues el ahorro anunciado ya est\u00e1 comprometido para ser gastado”, dijo.<\/p>\n
En cuanto a los efectos macroecon\u00f3micos, el CREES advierte que, si bien las autoridades proyectan un ahorro por medidas como la contenci\u00f3n de gastos en publicidad y eventos, las reformas anteriores han demostrado que es dif\u00edcil alcanzar las metas de recaudaci\u00f3n establecidas.<\/p>\n
“Las reformas fiscales previas no han logrado proporcionar los ingresos estimados, y entendemos que esta reforma no ser\u00eda la excepci\u00f3n, por lo que el problema estructural del d\u00e9ficit persiste”, agreg\u00f3 Collado Di Franco.<\/p>\n
Los c\u00e1lculos proporcionados por CREES se basan en datos del Proyecto de Ley de Presupuesto General del Estado 2025 y en estimaciones propias, considerando anuncios recientes de las autoridades en materia de gasto e ingresos, as\u00ed como los detalles ofrecidos sobre el proyecto de reforma fiscal que se someti\u00f3 al Congreso Nacional.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
<\/path><\/svg><\/i> Vistas Totales 1,231 , Vistas Hoy 2 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Autor: L\u00edstin Diario Fecha: 17 de octubre de 2024 Extra\u00eddo de: L\u00edstin Diario CREES dice proyecto de modernizaci\u00f3n fiscal no reduce el endeudamiento p\u00fablico El d\u00e9ficit\u00a0p\u00fablico\u00a0de la\u00a0Rep\u00fablica Dominicana solo disminuir\u00eda\u00a0del 3% al 2.9% del PIB en 2025, a pesar de la\u00a0propuesta fiscal\u00a0que fue enviada por el Poder Ejecutivo al Congreso Nacional\u00a0 El Centro Regional de…<\/p>\n
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<\/path><\/svg><\/i> Vistas Totales 1,231 , Vistas Hoy 2 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":26463,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-26927","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualidad"],"yoast_head":"\n
CREES dice proyecto de modernizaci\u00f3n fiscal no reduce el endeudamiento p\u00fablico | CREES<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=26927\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"CREES dice proyecto de modernizaci\u00f3n fiscal no reduce el endeudamiento p\u00fablico | CREES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Autor: L\u00edstin Diario Fecha: 17 de octubre de 2024 Extra\u00eddo de: L\u00edstin Diario CREES dice proyecto de modernizaci\u00f3n fiscal no reduce el endeudamiento p\u00fablico El d\u00e9ficit\u00a0p\u00fablico\u00a0de la\u00a0Rep\u00fablica Dominicana solo disminuir\u00eda\u00a0del 3% al 2.9% del PIB en 2025, a pesar de la\u00a0propuesta fiscal\u00a0que fue enviada por el Poder Ejecutivo al Congreso 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