La Propuesta Digital<\/a><\/p>\nDeterioro fiscal en Colombia sirve de advertencia a Rep\u00fablica Dominicana, advierte el CREES<\/h2>\n Santo Domingo, 17 abril<\/strong>. \u2013<\/em>\u00a0Colombia se ha convertido en un referente de alerta para Rep\u00fablica Dominicana y otros pa\u00edses de Am\u00e9rica Latina, debido al progresivo deterioro de su calificaci\u00f3n de riesgo soberano, seg\u00fan el Centro Regional de Estrategias Econ\u00f3micas Sostenibles (CREES).<\/p>\nEn 2021, la agencia Standard and Poor\u2019s rebaj\u00f3 su calificaci\u00f3n de grado de inversi\u00f3n a nivel especulativo, y recientemente la redujo de BB a BB-. Actualmente, solo Moody\u2019s mantiene al pa\u00eds en grado de inversi\u00f3n, en su nivel m\u00e1s bajo (Baa3).<\/p>\n
En el plano econ\u00f3mico, Colombia enfrenta inflaci\u00f3n, bajo crecimiento y un marcado desbalance fiscal. La presi\u00f3n tributaria alcanz\u00f3 25.7% el pasado a\u00f1o, mientras que el gasto p\u00fablico se situ\u00f3 en 31% del Producto Interno Bruto (PIB), de acuerdo con datos de Standard and Poor\u2019s citados por el CREES. Este desfase refleja debilidades estructurales en el manejo de las finanzas p\u00fablicas.<\/p>\n
El CREES se\u00f1ala que d\u00e9ficits fiscales superiores al 5% y 6% terminan generando consecuencias negativas. En lugar de reducir el gasto, la pr\u00e1ctica ha sido mantener niveles elevados de erogaci\u00f3n, lo que incrementa la insostenibilidad fiscal.<\/p>\n
Cuando los gobiernos buscan que los ingresos crezcan al ritmo del gasto, se produce una espiral que deriva en mayor endeudamiento, una din\u00e1mica que tambi\u00e9n ha estado presente en Rep\u00fablica Dominicana.<\/p>\n
En materia tributaria, Colombia habr\u00eda replicado esquemas poco efectivos. La reforma de 2021, respaldada por el Fondo Monetario Internacional, sigui\u00f3 un enfoque similar al planteado en Rep\u00fablica Dominicana en 2024: aumento de tasas, creaci\u00f3n de nuevos tributos y ampliaci\u00f3n de la base sin reducir cargas existentes.<\/p>\n
Este modelo, seg\u00fan el CREES, ya hab\u00eda mostrado resultados limitados en Rep\u00fablica Dominicana en 2012, y volvi\u00f3 a evidenciar debilidades en Colombia.<\/p>\n
Durante la gesti\u00f3n del presidente Gustavo Petro, en 2022 se aprob\u00f3 un incremento de impuestos que elev\u00f3 la presi\u00f3n fiscal en 2023, pero esta se redujo nuevamente en 2024 y 2025.<\/p>\n
Un comportamiento similar se observ\u00f3 en Rep\u00fablica Dominicana tras la reforma de 2012, cuando la presi\u00f3n tributaria subi\u00f3 en 2013, pero regres\u00f3 a niveles de 2012 en 2014. En 2025, el gobierno colombiano intent\u00f3 una nueva reforma, sin lograr aprobaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n
A partir de estas experiencias, el CREES considera que Rep\u00fablica Dominicana debe evitar repetir estos esquemas tributarios. La entidad advierte que los ciudadanos son los principales afectados por estas pol\u00edticas, por lo que resulta fundamental tomar en cuenta los efectos de reformas fiscales que no logran resultados sostenibles.<\/p>\n
En cuanto al crecimiento, Colombia no ha implementado reformas estructurales orientadas a elevar la productividad, una situaci\u00f3n que tambi\u00e9n se observa en Rep\u00fablica Dominicana.<\/p>\n
En 2025, la econom\u00eda colombiana creci\u00f3 2.6%, ligeramente por encima del desempe\u00f1o dominicano. Para 2026, aunque los precios del petr\u00f3leo podr\u00edan favorecer su crecimiento, las pol\u00edticas monetarias restrictivas limitar\u00edan su expansi\u00f3n, en un contexto donde controlar la inflaci\u00f3n es prioritario.<\/p>\n
Finalmente, aunque Rep\u00fablica Dominicana no presenta el mismo nivel de deuda respecto al PIB que Colombia, s\u00ed registra una mayor carga de intereses en relaci\u00f3n con sus ingresos fiscales, lo que constituye un indicador clave de sostenibilidad.<\/p>\n
Adem\u00e1s, aunque los d\u00e9ficits no han alcanzado los niveles colombianos, el CREES advierte que, de no aplicarse controles al gasto, el d\u00e9ficit podr\u00eda superar el 4% este a\u00f1o e incluso acercarse al 5% en un escenario adverso.<\/p>\n
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<\/path><\/svg><\/i> Vistas Totales 22 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Autor: Propuesta Digital Fecha: 17 de abril de 2026 Extra\u00eddo de: La Propuesta Digital Deterioro fiscal en Colombia sirve de advertencia a Rep\u00fablica Dominicana, advierte el CREES Santo Domingo, 17 abril. \u2013\u00a0Colombia se ha convertido en un referente de alerta para Rep\u00fablica Dominicana y otros pa\u00edses de Am\u00e9rica Latina, debido al progresivo deterioro de su…<\/p>\n
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<\/path><\/svg><\/i> Vistas Totales 22 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":29591,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29639","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualidad"],"yoast_head":"\n
Deterioro fiscal en Colombia sirve de advertencia a Rep\u00fablica Dominicana, advierte el CREES | CREES<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=29639\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Deterioro fiscal en Colombia sirve de advertencia a Rep\u00fablica Dominicana, advierte el CREES | CREES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Autor: Propuesta Digital Fecha: 17 de abril de 2026 Extra\u00eddo de: La Propuesta Digital Deterioro fiscal en Colombia sirve de advertencia a Rep\u00fablica Dominicana, advierte el CREES Santo Domingo, 17 abril. \u2013\u00a0Colombia se ha convertido en un referente de alerta para Rep\u00fablica Dominicana y otros pa\u00edses de Am\u00e9rica Latina, debido al progresivo deterioro de su...\" 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