{"id":29685,"date":"2026-05-07T15:20:37","date_gmt":"2026-05-07T15:20:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=29685"},"modified":"2026-05-07T15:26:13","modified_gmt":"2026-05-07T15:26:13","slug":"sector-publico-en-expansion-crees-alerta-sobre-politizacion-del-gasto-impuestos-y-deuda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=29685","title":{"rendered":"Sector p\u00fablico en expansi\u00f3n: CREES alerta sobre politizaci\u00f3n del gasto, impuestos y deuda"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Autor: Katheryn Luna<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Fecha: 5 de mayo de 2026<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Extra\u00eddo de: <a href=\"https:\/\/acento.com.do\/economia\/sector-publico-en-expansion-crees-alerta-sobre-politizacion-del-gasto-impuestos-y-deuda-9671311.html\">Acento<\/a><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Sector p\u00fablico en expansi\u00f3n: CREES alerta sobre politizaci\u00f3n del gasto, impuestos y deuda<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Bajo criterios como el\u00a0<strong>gasto p\u00fablico<\/strong>, la\u00a0<strong>carga impositiva<\/strong>\u00a0o el aumento de\u00a0<strong>regulaciones,<\/strong>\u00a0el sector p\u00fablico en Rep\u00fablica Dominicana evidencia una expansi\u00f3n sostenida que \u2014seg\u00fan el Centro Regional de Estrategias Econ\u00f3micas Sostenibles\u00a0<strong>(CREES)\u2014<\/strong>\u00a0responde a<strong>\u00a0incentivos pol\u00edticos por encima de consideraciones econ\u00f3micas.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">El planteamiento parte de que el crecimiento estatal no solo se expresa en el presupuesto general, sino tambi\u00e9n en partidas como la contrataci\u00f3n de personal, los\u00a0<strong>subsidios<\/strong>\u00a0a las Empresas Distribuidoras de Electricidad\u00a0<strong>(EDE)<\/strong>\u00a0y las t<strong>ransferencias monetarias a los hogares.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Sector p\u00fablico en Rep\u00fablica Dominicana: se\u00f1ales del crecimiento<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>CREES<\/strong>\u00a0sostiene que, \u201cbajo cualquier criterio de medici\u00f3n\u201d, el sector p\u00fablico dominicano muestra un aumento visible. En su an\u00e1lisis, este avance puede observarse en tres frentes principales:<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">M\u00e1s gasto, m\u00e1s subsidios y m\u00e1s transferencias<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Adem\u00e1s del<strong>\u00a0gasto corriente<\/strong>\u00a0del Estado, el crecimiento se refleja en partidas asociadas a contrataci\u00f3n,\u00a0<strong>subsidios<\/strong>\u00a0<strong>a las EDE<\/strong> y programas de transferencias monetarias a los hogares. El punto central, seg\u00fan la entidad, es que estas decisiones suelen responder a un\u00a0c\u00e1lculo pol\u00edtico\u00a0y no necesariamente a criterios de eficiencia econ\u00f3mica.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Regulaciones e impuestos como parte de la expansi\u00f3n estatal<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">El incremento del tama\u00f1o del Estado tambi\u00e9n se mide por la ampliaci\u00f3n de\u00a0<strong>regulaciones<\/strong>\u00a0y el peso de los\u00a0<strong>impuestos,<\/strong> variables que para CREES sirven como indicadores complementarios de un mayor alcance del sector p\u00fablico sobre la econom\u00eda.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-29652\" src=\"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Beneficiarios-alimentate-scaled.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"896\" height=\"896\" srcset=\"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Beneficiarios-alimentate-scaled.png 1200w, https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Beneficiarios-alimentate-450x450.png 450w, https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Beneficiarios-alimentate-2000x2000.png 2000w, https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Beneficiarios-alimentate-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Beneficiarios-alimentate-768x768.png 768w, https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Beneficiarios-alimentate-500x500.png 500w, https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Beneficiarios-alimentate-1536x1536.png 1536w, https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Beneficiarios-alimentate-2048x2048.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 896px) 100vw, 896px\" \/><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Qu\u00e9 dice la teor\u00eda de la elecci\u00f3n p\u00fablica sobre la \u201cpolitizaci\u00f3n\u201d de la econom\u00eda<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">El an\u00e1lisis de CREES se apoya en la teor\u00eda de la<strong>\u00a0elecci\u00f3n p\u00fablica (public choice)<\/strong>, un enfoque que estudia el comportamiento de los actores dentro de los partidos pol\u00edticos y el sector p\u00fablico, poniendo el foco en los incentivos que enfrentan quienes toman decisiones.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">James Buchanan y la \u201cpol\u00edtica sin romanticismo\u201d<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">CREES cita al\u00a0<strong>Nobel James Buchanan<\/strong>\u00a0como uno de los principales referentes de esta corriente, junto a autores como G<strong>ordon Tullock, Mancur Olson, Anthony Downs y Amilcare Puviani<\/strong>\u00a0\u2014este \u00faltimo asociado a la idea de \u201cilusi\u00f3n fiscal\u201d, desarrollada en el siglo XIX\u2014.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Desde esta perspectiva, lo relevante no son \u00fanicamente los discursos, sino las acciones: qu\u00e9 hacen los gobernantes una vez alcanzan el poder y cu\u00e1les incentivos los empujan a expandir el gasto, los impuestos o el endeudamiento.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">D\u00e9ficit y deuda p\u00fablica: el costo que se traslada al futuro<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>CREES<\/strong>\u00a0advierte que, sin frenos institucionales s\u00f3lidos y sin reformas estructurales, tienden a imponerse incentivos para el oportunismo pol\u00edtico, especialmente en pa\u00edses con debilidades institucionales.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">En el enfoque descrito por CREES, el\u00a0<strong>endeudamiento p\u00fablico<\/strong>\u00a0<strong>difiere costos:<\/strong>\u00a0el gasto presente se financia con deuda que, m\u00e1s adelante, se traduce en mayores impuestos u otros ajustes. En esa l\u00f3gica, la deuda, el gasto y los tributos se convierten en herramientas de poder \u201cformal o de facto\u201d para las autoridades\u00a0en funciones.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Reformas estructurales pendientes y reglas de juego m\u00e1s firmes<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">El an\u00e1lisis concluye que,\u00a0<strong>sin reformas estructurales orientadas a fortalecer reglas institucionales que faciliten la creaci\u00f3n de riqueza y limiten la politizaci\u00f3n de la econom\u00eda, los pa\u00edses tienden a experimentar aumentos en el tama\u00f1o del Estado.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">CREES plantea que, en el caso dominicano, el tema cobra relevancia por la trayectoria al alza del\u00a0<strong>gasto, el d\u00e9ficit y la deuda,<\/strong>\u00a0mientras persisten pendientes reformas de fondo que \u2014en su lectura\u2014 podr\u00edan ordenar incentivos y reducir la discrecionalidad en la pol\u00edtica fiscal.<\/p>\n<div 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aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-chart-bar fa-w-16 fa-2x\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v198.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm96 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V204.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v134.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zM496 400H48V80c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16H16C7.16 64 0 71.16 0 80v336c0 17.67 14.33 32 32 32h464c8.84 0 16-7.16 16-16v-16c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16zm-387.2-48h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8v-70.4c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v70.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8z\" class=\"\"><\/path><\/svg><\/i> Vistas Totales&nbsp;22&nbsp;, Vistas Hoy&nbsp;22&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":29686,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29685","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualidad"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Sector p\u00fablico en expansi\u00f3n: CREES alerta sobre politizaci\u00f3n del gasto, impuestos y deuda | CREES<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=29685\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Sector 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