{"id":30441,"date":"2026-10-09T13:19:06","date_gmt":"2026-10-09T13:19:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=30441"},"modified":"2026-10-09T13:19:06","modified_gmt":"2026-10-09T13:19:06","slug":"presupuesto-2027-volveria-a-rebasar-la-regla-fiscal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=30441","title":{"rendered":"Presupuesto 2027 volver\u00eda a rebasar la regla fiscal"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Autor: Hoy<\/p>\n<p>Fecha: 8 de octubre de 2026<\/p>\n<p>Extra\u00eddo de: <a href=\"https:\/\/hoy.com.do\/economia\/presupuesto-2027-volveria-rebasar-regla-fiscal_1104836.html\">Hoy<\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-30442\" src=\"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/portada-hoy-8-de-octubre-2026.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"896\" height=\"442\" srcset=\"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/portada-hoy-8-de-octubre-2026.jpeg 1200w, https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/portada-hoy-8-de-octubre-2026-450x222.jpeg 450w, https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/portada-hoy-8-de-octubre-2026-768x379.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 896px) 100vw, 896px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Presupuesto 2027 volver\u00eda a rebasar la regla fiscal<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">El Gobierno volver\u00eda a superar en 2027 el l\u00edmite de crecimiento del gasto primario establecido por la Ley 35-24 de Responsabilidad Fiscal, seg\u00fan un an\u00e1lisis del vicepresidente Ejecutivo del Centro Regional de Estrategias Econ\u00f3micas Sostenibles (CREES), Miguel Collado Di Franco, solicitado por HOY.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">El economista explica que la ley permite que el gasto primario crezca hasta la inflaci\u00f3n esperada m\u00e1s tres puntos porcentuales. Con una inflaci\u00f3n proyectada de 4.5% para 2027, el l\u00edmite ser\u00eda 7.5%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Sin embargo, al comparar el presupuesto de 2026 con el proyecto de 2027, el economista estima un aumento del gasto primario del Gobierno Central de 9.3%, dos puntos por encima del tope legal.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Aunque la Direcci\u00f3n General de Presupuesto (DIGEPRES) a\u00fan no ha publicado las cifras actualizadas del Gobierno General Nacional tras la reformulaci\u00f3n presupuestaria de 2026, Collado Di Franco sostiene que, incluso incorporando los RD$40,978.3 millones adicionales, el resultado apuntar\u00eda igualmente a un incumplimiento de la regla fiscal.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">El an\u00e1lisis se\u00f1ala que las excepciones previstas en la Ley 35-24 tampoco parecer\u00edan aplicables, debido a que la deuda p\u00fablica contin\u00faa alrededor de 47% del PIB y las necesidades de financiamiento siguen aumentando.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Explica que la normativa permite apartarse de la regla cuando existe un incremento permanente de los ingresos compatible con la meta de reducir la deuda al 40% del PIB en 2035.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Asimismo, el economista considera que no est\u00e1n presentes las circunstancias extraordinarias que permitir\u00edan suspender la regla fiscal, como una recesi\u00f3n, una perturbaci\u00f3n grave del orden econ\u00f3mico, social o medioambiental, una calamidad p\u00fablica o un estado de excepci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">La ley contempla adem\u00e1s un r\u00e9gimen de sanciones por incumplimiento. Plantea incorporar una regla de d\u00e9ficit p\u00fablico para fortalecer el marco fiscal. Considera que controlar el gasto no basta para contener el endeudamiento del Estado.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Sugiere que la Ley 35-24 debe ser fortalecida con una regla de d\u00e9ficit p\u00fablico, ya que controlar solo el crecimiento del gasto no evita que el Estado recurra de manera persistente al financiamiento para cubrir d\u00e9ficits, intereses y amortizaciones de deuda.<\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"pvc_stats all \" data-element-id=\"30441\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-chart-bar fa-w-16 fa-2x\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 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Ejecutivo del Centro Regional de Estrategias Econ\u00f3micas Sostenibles (CREES),&#8230;<\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"pvc_stats all \" data-element-id=\"30441\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-chart-bar fa-w-16 fa-2x\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v198.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm96 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V204.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v134.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zM496 400H48V80c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16H16C7.16 64 0 71.16 0 80v336c0 17.67 14.33 32 32 32h464c8.84 0 16-7.16 16-16v-16c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16zm-387.2-48h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8v-70.4c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v70.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8z\" class=\"\"><\/path><\/svg><\/i> Vistas Totales&nbsp;18&nbsp;, Vistas Hoy&nbsp;18&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":30442,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30441","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualidad"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Presupuesto 2027 volver\u00eda a rebasar la regla fiscal | CREES<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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