{"id":30543,"date":"2026-10-30T13:28:41","date_gmt":"2026-10-30T13:28:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=30543"},"modified":"2026-10-30T13:28:41","modified_gmt":"2026-10-30T13:28:41","slug":"la-advertencia-de-francia-a-los-jovenes-dominicanos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=30543","title":{"rendered":"La advertencia de Francia a los j\u00f3venes dominicanos"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Autor: Miguel Collado Di Franco<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-30544\" src=\"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Untitled-copy-23-scaled.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"896\" height=\"896\" srcset=\"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Untitled-copy-23-scaled.png 1200w, https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Untitled-copy-23-450x450.png 450w, https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Untitled-copy-23-2000x2000.png 2000w, https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Untitled-copy-23-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Untitled-copy-23-768x768.png 768w, https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Untitled-copy-23-500x500.png 500w, https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Untitled-copy-23-1536x1536.png 1536w, https:\/\/crees.org.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Untitled-copy-23-2048x2048.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 896px) 100vw, 896px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>La advertencia de Francia a los j\u00f3venes dominicanos<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Francia es el ejemplo de lo que no debe hacerse en materia fiscal. A\u00f1os de crecimiento del gasto y del endeudamiento presentan un panorama sombr\u00edo, en lo econ\u00f3mico y en lo social.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Todo el gasto p\u00fablico y todas las ofertas que realizan los gobiernos a sus ciudadanos viene con una factura. Lo que se les pide a los gobiernos, o las promesas pol\u00edticas, tienen que ser pagadas por los ciudadanos. Lo que se acepta como gratis, sirve para acumular una deuda que en Francia representa el 119 por ciento de su producto interno bruto (PIB). Una de las m\u00e1s altas del mundo. Cada franc\u00e9s deb\u00eda 57,743 d\u00f3lares en 2025.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">A ese nivel de deuda solo se llega por medio de la irresponsabilidad fiscal. Cuando un gobierno alcanza un nivel de gasto superior al 57% de su PIB, como en Francia, la deuda debe crecer. No hay econom\u00eda que pueda financiar esos niveles de gastos con impuestos presentes. Los gobernantes lo saben. Por eso recurren a los impuestos diferidos, que es otro nombre para el endeudamiento p\u00fablico.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Mensaje para los m\u00e1s j\u00f3venes. El colateral, la garant\u00eda impl\u00edcita que ponen los pol\u00edticos para pagar la deuda, son sus ciudadanos. Mientras m\u00e1s joven es una persona, mayores son las probabilidades de sufrir, a lo largo de su vida, el peso de esa deuda. Hay momentos en los cuales la factura fiscal se hace insostenible. Surgen las crisis porque la carga es muy pesada, y hay que hacer los inevitables ajustes.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Los j\u00f3venes dominicanos vivir\u00e1n m\u00e1s tiempo. La Oficina Nacional de Estad\u00edsticas estima que 2026 ser\u00e1 el a\u00f1o en que la fecundidad se reducir\u00e1 a menos de dos hijos por mujer. Hace 25 a\u00f1os atr\u00e1s los nacimientos representaban 2.8 por cada mujer. Casi un nacimiento m\u00e1s que en la actualidad. Los ni\u00f1os que nacen ahora tambi\u00e9n vivir\u00e1n m\u00e1s. La esperanza de vida en 2001 era 69.3 a\u00f1os, para 2026 se estima en 75.7 a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Los indicadores demogr\u00e1ficos proyectan que habr\u00e1 menos personas para pagar la deuda y que vivir\u00e1n m\u00e1s tiempo para sufrir sus consecuencias.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Francia lleg\u00f3 a este nivel de deuda preocupante, que obliga a pagar la tasa de rendimiento m\u00e1s alta en 24 a\u00f1os, a un paso m\u00e1s lento que el que exhibe la deuda dominicana. En los \u00faltimos 25 a\u00f1os, la deuda del Gobierno General per c\u00e1pita, que incluye la del Banco Central, experiment\u00f3 un crecimiento compuesto anual de 10.2 por ciento. La francesa creci\u00f3 a 6.0 por ciento. En los \u00faltimos 18 a\u00f1os, o desde la \u00faltima vez que en la Rep\u00fablica Dominicana tuvimos un super\u00e1vit fiscal, esa deuda ha experimentado un crecimiento compuesto anual de 8.0 por ciento. En Francia, 3.2 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Vamos a un paso muy r\u00e1pido. Lo peor es que desde hace a\u00f1os gastamos m\u00e1s en intereses. Nuestro gasto en intereses de la deuda p\u00fablica equivale al 3.9 por ciento del PIB. En Francia, al 2.9 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Hay motivos claros para cambiar de rumbo y reducir el gasto p\u00fablico. Nuestra deuda crece a un ritmo acelerado. En adici\u00f3n, debemos pagar m\u00e1s intereses en comparaci\u00f3n con lo que producimos.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u00daltimo mensaje para los j\u00f3venes: la \u00e9tica del trabajo engrandece a las personas. Depender de las d\u00e1divas de los gobernantes empobrece el esp\u00edritu y, con el tiempo, termina empobreciendo tambi\u00e9n a los ciudadanos. Frente a esa dependencia, hay una alternativa probada a lo largo de la historia: producir en libertad.<\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"pvc_stats all \" data-element-id=\"30543\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-chart-bar fa-w-16 fa-2x\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v198.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm96 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V204.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v134.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zM496 400H48V80c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16H16C7.16 64 0 71.16 0 80v336c0 17.67 14.33 32 32 32h464c8.84 0 16-7.16 16-16v-16c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16zm-387.2-48h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8v-70.4c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v70.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8z\" class=\"\"><\/path><\/svg><\/i> Vistas Totales&nbsp;82&nbsp;, Vistas Hoy&nbsp;82&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Autor: Miguel Collado Di Franco La advertencia de Francia a los j\u00f3venes dominicanos Francia es el ejemplo de lo que no debe hacerse en materia fiscal. A\u00f1os de crecimiento del gasto y del endeudamiento presentan un panorama sombr\u00edo, en lo econ\u00f3mico y en lo social. Todo el gasto p\u00fablico y todas las ofertas que realizan&#8230;<\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"pvc_stats all \" data-element-id=\"30543\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-chart-bar fa-w-16 fa-2x\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v198.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm96 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V204.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v134.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zM496 400H48V80c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16H16C7.16 64 0 71.16 0 80v336c0 17.67 14.33 32 32 32h464c8.84 0 16-7.16 16-16v-16c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16zm-387.2-48h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8v-70.4c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v70.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8z\" class=\"\"><\/path><\/svg><\/i> Vistas Totales&nbsp;82&nbsp;, Vistas Hoy&nbsp;82&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":30544,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30543","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articulos"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>La advertencia de Francia a los j\u00f3venes dominicanos | CREES<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/crees.org.do\/?p=30543\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"La advertencia de Francia a los j\u00f3venes dominicanos | CREES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Autor: Miguel Collado Di Franco La advertencia de Francia a los j\u00f3venes dominicanos Francia es el ejemplo de lo que no debe hacerse en materia fiscal. 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